The weather system intensified to a category three on Sunday with the Bureau of Meteorology warning there was a 20 per cent chance of it developing into a category four by Monday night.
"Severe Tropical Cyclone Megan is beginning to impact the southwestern Gulf of Carpentaria coast," the Bureau of Meteorology advised at 8pm (ACST) on Sunday.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Megan is now a Category 3 system, slowly moving south towards the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast. The system is forecast to make a coastal crossing on Monday.— Bureau of Meteorology, Australia (@BOM_au) For the latest track maps and advice, visit https://t.co/OkjBYf3cZd pic.twitter.com/2Nh5MedpqXMarch 17, 2024
The cyclone is forecast to hit the NT coast on Monday evening with a warning area spanning hundreds of kilometres - from Alyangula on Groote Eylandt in the NT to the Queensland border and inland to Borroloola, the McArthur River Mine and Robinson River.
"There is a moderate chance that this system could develop into a category four tropical cyclone," the bureau's Shenagh Gamble said on Sunday.
The core of the cyclone has been called destructive, bringing wind gusts of up to 220km/h and rainfall totals of between 300 and 400mm.
Ms Gamble said the cyclone would likely remain a category three when it made landfall on Monday night but could intensify if it slowed down before then.
Possible rainfall totals of between 150 and 200mm and wind gusts of up to 110km/h were forecast in the other hundreds of kilometres of warning zone and dozens of towns.
Flood watches are in place for the Carpentaria to Arnhem and Barkly.
Forecasters say there is a moderate chance Megan could develop into a category four system. (Neve Brissenden/AAP PHOTOS)
The bureau said the flood warnings could expand as the cyclone hits the coast.
It might already be too late for some residents to leave as the cyclone approaches.
"When the tropical cyclone does arrive, we need you to take shelter inside," NT Police Superintendent Sonia Kennon said on Sunday.
"Stay indoors until all clear is given by the authorities."
The weather system is expected to return to a tropical low as it heads further inland on Tuesday and Wednesday.
"We expect it to maintain tropical cyclone intensity all the way through to Borroloola and even to McArthur River Mine," Ms Gamble said.
Once it reaches land, Megan is forecast to weaken and track west through the NT as a tropical low.
Megan has formed a month after category one ex-tropical Cyclone Lincoln crossed the territory's coast in the southern Gulf of Carpentaria, bringing high winds and heavy rainfall.
